Wintry weather on the way across Aylesbury Vale with November record on the cards

Local forecasters tell all on the weather to expect across the area over the next week

Monday, 22nd November 2021, 12:16 pm
Updated Monday, 22nd November 2021, 12:18 pm

Wintry weather on the way across Aylesbury Vale with November record on the cards forecaster Jonathan Harrison writes for The Bucks Herald.

As we move into the final week of November, the month is becoming increasingly notable for the sheer lack of rainfall. Up to the 24th, there has only been 5 days in Wendover which have seen rainfall. The total rainfall for the month here is a mere 5.6mm and similar rainfall totals have been observed across the whole of the Aylesbury Vale. To provide some context as to how dry this month is, the driest November on record over central England since 1873 is 1945 with 7.3mm of rain for the whole month.

Colder Novembers often see more in the way of drier weather, however November 2021 up until the 20th had been exceptionally mild, despite a rather chilly opening to the month, with temperatures in the Aylesbury Vale around 2.0C above the 1961-1990 mean. 15 of the 20 days up until this point saw temperatures above 10C. So what was the cause behind this unusual weather? High pressure has been dominant to the south and east of the UK. The usual wet and windy weather from the Atlantic has therefore been further north-west away from the region. The stubborn high pressure has pushed up mild air from the south-west.

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Since the weekend however the weather has turned much colder as high pressure has begun to build in the mid-Atlantic instead. Colder air as a result has been filtering southwards across the UK. Through to the weekend and into early next week, the rather cold weather is expected to continue with some wintry weather a possibility. It is expected to turn unsettled through the last few days of the month overall, meaning we may just miss out on the driest November on record.