General Election 2019: True blue Aylesbury, the safe Tory seat through history

But challengers Liz Hind (Labour), Steven Lambert (Lib Dems) and Coral Simpson (Green Party) are all keeping their fingers crossed that there will be an upset tonight.

The Conservative Party has held the Aylesbury seat since 1924.

Aylesbury is the 133rd safest of the Conservative Party's 331 seats by percentage of majority.

The closest result since 1929 was in 1966 when the Labour Party candidate fell 7.4% short of a majority.

In June 2016, an estimated 51.8% of local adults voting in the EU membership referendum chose to leave the European Union instead of to remain. This was matched in two January 2018 votes in Parliament by its MP.

At the 2017 General Election then-MP David Lidington once again held on to the seat, increasing his majority thanks to a weakened UKIP, the party which came second in 2015 and had run on an anti-HS2 ticket.

So why do people vote Tory in the Aylesbury constituency? It could be to do with the boundaries, which encompass many affluent, traditional Tory voting areas, and more working class areas where the Thatcherite ideals of upward mobility are broadly seen as a badge of honour.

And this year, despite the Conservatives making no promises on HS2, which will destroy our area, many leave the EU voters may be swayed by Boris Johnson's 'Get Brexit Done' campaign strategy.

Many people also like to 'back the winner' at election time, so the party can rely on some votes from members of the electorate who think a blue Aylesbury is simply a given.

We will bring you the result later tonight, will there be a historic upset, who knows!